TOTAL VOLUME:

$101.9b

24H VOL:

$119,575,967

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,024,173,950

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,176,087,693

185,125

Markets across

18,843

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,297

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

Polymarket:

44%

VS.

Kalshi:

56%

BETA

Science and Technology

Entertainment

Economics

How many jobs added in February?

Name: How many jobs added in February?
Start: 2025-10-13T14:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-03-06T15:00:00.000Z

Volume:

$787,659

<25k 100%

Above 0 0%

Above 70,000 0%

Closed: Mar 5, 7:00 PM EST

Polymarket

View

Markets

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

title

trade

chance

price

spread

liquidity

volume

volume24pers

volume7pers

openInterest

endDate

unifiedStatus

<25k

View

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

$22,493

N/A

0d 0h 0m

Yes

Above 0

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$76,412

N/A

$58,718

0d 0h 0m

Above 70,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$76,140

N/A

$55,712

0d 0h 0m

Above 50,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$64,832

N/A

$36,373

0d 0h 0m

Above -25,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$64,740

N/A

$60,547

0d 0h 0m

Above 100,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$60,564

N/A

$47,828

0d 0h 0m

Above 90,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$57,116

N/A

$47,183

0d 0h 0m

Above 60,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$55,299

N/A

$23,926

0d 0h 0m

Above 30,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$45,382

N/A

$18,820

0d 0h 0m

Above 20,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$41,451

N/A

$29,368

0d 0h 0m

Above 80,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$40,579

N/A

$31,574

0d 0h 0m

Above 40,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$37,767

N/A

$25,880

0d 0h 0m

Above 125,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$37,395

N/A

$32,443

0d 0h 0m

Above 10,000

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$25,126

N/A

$22,502

0d 0h 0m

75k–100k

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

$19,484

N/A

0d 0h 0m

50k–75k

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

$15,935

N/A

0d 0h 0m

175k+

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

$13,463

N/A

0d 0h 0m

150k–175k

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

$13,355

N/A

0d 0h 0m

25k–50k

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

$10,024

N/A

0d 0h 0m

125k–150k

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

$5,108

N/A

0d 0h 0m

100k–125k

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

$4,994

N/A

0d 0h 0m

Total markets: 21

Description

This event group tracks the number of jobs added in the US during February 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Situation Summary. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer multiple markets with different job-addition thresholds to allow traders to express granular views on the employment outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses mutually exclusive job-addition brackets with explicit tie-breaking to the higher bracket, while Kalshi uses cumulative strict-greater-than thresholds. This creates different outcome mappings for the same employment figure.Hero tip: Understand that Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive (exactly one resolves YES per outcome), while Kalshi markets are cumulative (multiple can resolve YES). When the reported jobs figure lands exactly on a Polymarket bracket boundary, the tie-break rule pushes resolution to the higher bracket. On Kalshi, the same figure will trigger all lower thresholds to YES and all higher thresholds to NO. Cross-platform arbitrage requires mapping each employment outcome to both platforms' resolution logic independently.

Critical divergence points:

Polymarket: Uses 8 mutually exclusive job-addition brackets: <25k, 25k-50k, 50k-75k, 75k-100k, 100k-125k, 125k-150k, 150k-175k, >=175k. Includes explicit tie-breaking rule: 'If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.' Exactly one bracket resolves YES per outcome.
Kalshi: Uses 13 cumulative strict-greater-than thresholds: >0, >10k, >20k, >30k, >40k, >50k, >60k, >70k, >80k, >90k, >100k, >125k, >-25k. All thresholds below the reported figure resolve YES; all thresholds at or above resolve NO. No explicit tie-breaking rule provided.

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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How many jobs added in February?

Markets

<25k

Above 0

Above 70,000

Above 50,000

Above -25,000

Above 100,000

Above 90,000

Above 60,000

Above 30,000

Above 20,000

Above 80,000

Above 40,000

Above 125,000

Above 10,000

75k–100k

50k–75k

175k+

150k–175k

25k–50k

125k–150k

100k–125k

Description

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Critical divergence points:

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