TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 12:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether at least half of all scheduled games will be completed during the 2026 WNBA regular season. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by official WNBA records: if at least 75% of total games are played in the 2026 regular season, the market resolves to Yes. Watch for announcements regarding league scheduling, labor negotiations, or any disruptions that could affect game completion rates leading up to the 2027-01-01 resolution date.
Resolution is determined by calculating the percentage of games actually played in the 2026 WNBA regular season relative to the total scheduled games. Each outcome resolves to Yes if at least the specified percentage threshold is achieved. Thresholds are 100%, 90%, 75%, 50%, 25%, and 10% of total scheduled games. The resolution metric is games played as a percentage of total scheduled games for the 2026 WNBA regular season.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, various total game counts for the WNBA season. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of expectations. The current price indicates what traders believe is the most likely total number of games played.
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of games played in the 2026 WNBA season is verifiable from credible public reporting. This includes regular season games, playoff games, and any potential tie-breaker games. The final count will be sourced from official WNBA statistics and game results, ensuring an accurate and objective determination of the market's outcome. Any games canceled or postponed and not ultimately played will not be included in the final tally.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major player injuries, particularly to star players, could impact team performance and potentially lead to game cancellations or altered schedules. Unexpected team performance – either exceeding or falling short of expectations – will also drive price movements. Rule changes or league-wide decisions affecting game scheduling or format could also have an effect. Finally, any significant disruptions to the season, such as unforeseen circumstances impacting travel or player availability, could cause substantial shifts in the market.