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How high will WTI oil get by Aug 31, 2026?
Commodities
kalshi

How high will WTI oil get by Aug 31, 2026?

Aug 4, 2026, 4:47 PM EST - Sep 1, 2026, 2:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$29,183
Volume 24h:
$1,828
35%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$13,011
3%

90.51 or above

 - Kalshi

90.51 or above - Kalshi

100%

+72%

1W

News

Positive

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Neutral

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20%40%60%80%

Aug 17

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Aug 20

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Aug 24

Vol.

$6.0

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 07d:22h:49m

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Description

WTI oil prices could experience substantial volatility over the next two years, influenced by factors such as economic growth, supply disruptions, and energy policies. A significant spike in oil prices would have wide-ranging effects on industries, inflation rates, and global economic stability.

Kalshi

This event includes multiple thresholds, each defining a specific price point above which the market resolves to Yes. The event resolves if, at any time between issuance and August 31, 2026, the maximum price of WTI front-month settle prices reported by ICE exceeds any of the specified thresholds, ranging incrementally from $85.51 to $95.01. Each rule corresponds to a distinct price ceiling, with the market resolving to Yes if the price surpasses that ceiling. The outcome hinges on the highest price recorded during the period, without requiring the price to remain above those levels continuously.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the WTI oil price ceiling market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $364. It shows how traders on Kalshi expect the highest price for WTI oil to reach by the end of the period, offering a visual representation of market sentiment and liquidity through $29,183 in total volume.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of market risks and opportunities. While analysts may provide detailed reports based on supply-demand models, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust their positions based on new data, potentially offering a leading indicator of market shifts.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price ceiling will be determined by the actual peak WTI oil price observed during the specified period, providing a clear and objective resolution for all contracts.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes, including key OPEC+ decisions, unexpected disruptions in major oil fields, changes in global demand due to economic shifts, and geopolitical tensions affecting supply routes. Each new development will be rapidly assessed by traders on Kalshi, potentially causing swift changes in odds.