TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks individual team run totals for Houston and Washington during their game on July 6, 2026, with separate thresholds for each team's scoring performance.
The market resolves based on individual team run totals in the Houston vs Washington game originally scheduled for Jul 6, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. For Washington, strikes resolve to Yes if the team scores 2 or more runs (Over 1.5), 3 or more runs (Over 2.5), up through 8 or more runs (Over 7.5). For Houston, strikes resolve to Yes if the team scores 2 or more runs (Over 1.5), 3 or more runs (Over 2.5), up through 8 or more runs (Over 7.5). Each team's performance is evaluated independently against its respective thresholds.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on the outcome. This market allows you to compare how traders collectively price the team total against what traditional sportsbooks are offering. Significant gaps between the two can signal value opportunities, though both sources provide useful reference points for assessing the likely range of combined scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of traders to commit capital, creating a dynamic odds display that updates continuously. As new trades execute, the price adjusts to reflect changing sentiment about the team total. This transparent, real-time pricing model allows you to see exactly where the market stands at any moment and execute trades at visible prices rather than relying on a fixed sportsbook line.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Houston vs Washington game concludes and the final combined point total is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting the official final score. Traders holding positions in this market should monitor the game closely as the resolution date approaches, since any late-game developments or scoring changes could affect the final tally. Once the official result is published, the market will settle and winnings will be distributed to traders on the correct side of the outcome.
Several key signals can shift trader sentiment and move this market before Jul 7, 2026. Injury announcements to star players on either team will likely trigger sharp price moves, as will unexpected lineup changes or coaching decisions. Weather forecasts closer to game day can influence scoring expectations, especially if rain or wind is predicted. Team performance in games leading up to this matchup, betting line movements at sportsbooks, and public commentary from analysts may also sway the market. Late-breaking news about player availability or team strategy can create volatility as traders reassess their positions.