TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead after the third quarter of a college football game between Houston and Texas Tech. It provides a way to speculate on the in-game momentum and performance of both teams during a specific segment of the match.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the third quarter of the Houston vs Texas Tech college football game scheduled for September 18, 2026. If Texas Tech scores more points in that quarter, the 'Texas Tech wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Houston scores more points, the 'Houston wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analyses and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced a team's chances, the odds on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team winning the 3rd quarter. As more contracts are purchased for a particular team, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of that team winning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is determined solely by supply and demand within Kalshi. There are no external factors influencing the pricing mechanism; it’s a purely market-driven process where traders express their beliefs through their trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the Houston vs Texas Tech game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and scoring, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will be able to view the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the official score.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Texas Tech teams would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team performance during the game itself, such as a dominant start by one team, could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, if they impact the game, might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed individuals or groups could create momentum and drive price fluctuations in this market.