TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 8:51 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of a college football game between Houston and Texas Tech. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed to resolve as 'Yes', reflecting varying expectations of scoring intensity in the opening quarter.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by both teams in the first quarter exceed specified thresholds, ranging from over 2.5 to over 27.5 points. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe the actual total will be higher or lower than the sportsbook’s line, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 1st quarter total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand—if more people want to buy contracts predicting a higher total, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the most accurate forecast of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the first quarter of the Houston vs Texas Tech game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual total will be settled at 100, while those predicting a different total will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Texas Tech teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect traders’ predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.