TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 1:32 AM EST
Kalshi
The matchup between Houston and Seattle on September 23 may go beyond the usual nine-inning length if the teams are level when the scheduled time expires, leading to additional frames to produce a decisive result.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Houston vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to express their independent beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expectations surrounding the Houston vs Seattle game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises prices, while increased selling pressure lowers them. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly liquid and informative market for predicting the result of the Houston vs Seattle game.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Houston vs Seattle game, including any extra innings played. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the market's pricing at resolution, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Seattle team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about starting pitchers or lineup changes could also shift probabilities. Finally, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased volume and price adjustments in this market.