TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Houston vs San Francisco: Spread
kalshi

Houston vs San Francisco: Spread

Volume:
$527,267

San Francisco wins by over 2.5 runs

 - Kalshi

San Francisco wins by over 2.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 12:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Francisco wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$108,115
N/A
N/A
$60,732
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Francisco wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$72,774
N/A
N/A
$42,470
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$205,976
N/A
N/A
$114,844
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco wins by over 3.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,194
N/A
N/A
$41,658
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,487
N/A
N/A
$26,549
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 3.5 runs

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,208
N/A
N/A
$19,869
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco wins by over 4.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,512
N/A
N/A
$1,851
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the performance gap between two teams in an upcoming baseball game. It focuses on the margin of victory, reflecting how decisively one team outperforms the other. Outcomes are determined by the run difference at the end of the scheduled match.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various run-difference thresholds for both teams in a single baseball game scheduled for August 11, 2026. Multiple markets exist, each defining a specific margin of victory that, if achieved by either Houston or San Francisco, results in a 'Yes' resolution for that particular market. Thresholds range from narrow advantages (e.g., winning by over 1.5 runs) to larger margins (e.g., winning by over 3.5 runs). All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each resolves independently based solely on whether the actual run differential meets or exceeds its specified threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.