TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines if Houston wins the September 9, 2026 MLS match against Salt Lake by more than specified goal margins. It includes performance after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The outcome depends on Houston’s dominance over Salt Lake.
The Houston vs Salt Lake spread markets evaluate win margins for each team in their September 9, 2026 MLS match. The first two markets resolve to 'Yes' if Houston wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively, while the latter two resolve to 'Yes' if Salt Lake wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively. All markets are based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Secondary rules emphasize Kalshi's non-affiliation with the governing league and the ownership of trademarks by respective parties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets often incorporate information and analysis faster than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Houston vs Salt Lake spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the bid-ask spread, which represents the cost of transacting in this market. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the spread and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Houston vs Salt Lake game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sports league, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the deciding factor.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Salt Lake teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, strategic shifts, or public perception of team strengths could all contribute to volatility in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade effectively.