TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on whether Houston and Salt Lake will each score at least one goal in their MLS fixture set for September 9, 2026. The resolution hinges on both teams netting during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases excluded from consideration.
If Houston and Salt Lake both score a goal in the Houston vs Salt Lake MLS match originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi, tends to reflect more purely the probability of the event occurring, as traders are incentivized to bet accurately. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially revealing different probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes, and the price of these contracts reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of both teams scoring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out $1 if the outcome is true, and $0 if it is false. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair probability of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Houston and Salt Lake score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine the final outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to contract holders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Houston or Salt Lake would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or defensively solid performances, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially impacting the style of play, could play a role. Any updates related to team tactics or starting lineups leading up to the game are also likely to be reflected in the price of this market.