TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual team run production in the Houston vs Kansas City game on June 13, 2026. Bettors predict whether Kansas City or Houston will each score above various run thresholds independently during the game.
Resolution is based on the individual final run totals for Kansas City and Houston in the game originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. Kansas City's scoring is evaluated against thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 runs, while Houston's scoring is evaluated against the same thresholds. Each market resolves to Yes if the respective team's final run total meets or exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., Kansas City over 1.5 resolves Yes if Kansas City scores 2 or more runs). The official final score as recorded by Major League Baseball determines the outcome for each team independently.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. This market may price team totals differently than traditional oddsmakers, especially as new information emerges or sharp traders identify value. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential arbitrage opportunities or contrarian signals worth monitoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for different team total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to it, with higher prices indicating stronger conviction that a particular total will be hit. As new trades execute, prices adjust instantly, allowing the market to incorporate breaking news, injury reports, or lineup changes in real time. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tightly prices cluster and how quickly they respond to fresh information.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, once the Houston vs Kansas City game concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Once the combined team totals are finalized and cross-checked, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions. No further trading occurs after resolution, so timing your entry and exit before the game begins is critical to your strategy.
Injury announcements, roster changes, and weather forecasts can significantly shift team total odds in the days leading up to kickoff. Unexpected trades or coaching decisions may alter offensive or defensive capabilities, prompting traders to reprice their positions. Public betting trends and sharp money flowing into one side can also trigger rapid price swings. Game-day conditions, such as wind or rain, and any last-minute lineup adjustments will likely drive final volatility before the market closes and the game begins.