TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 11:51 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track individual player hit performance in a Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals game scheduled for June 12, 2026. Each market focuses on whether a specific player will achieve a minimum hit threshold during the game.
Settlement is based on hits recorded by each player during the Houston vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. For all players and hit thresholds, only hits recorded by players in the starting lineup count toward resolution. If a player is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market resolves to fair market price. If a player starts but does not record a plate appearance, the market resolves to fair market price. If a player enters the game as a pinch hitter after not starting, the market resolves to fair market price and pinch-hit at-bats do not count. If a player is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance, the market settles based on the actual number of hits recorded, with separate markets tracking whether the player achieves 1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ hits.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders see value the books have missed. Comparing both sources can reveal where sharp money is flowing and highlight potential discrepancies worth monitoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different hit totals. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the latest supply and demand; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts accordingly. Traders profit by correctly predicting the final hit count, and the platform's continuous matching ensures prices stay responsive to new evidence and market activity throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the Houston vs Kansas City game concludes and the final hit count is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Until that point, traders can adjust positions as new data—such as lineup changes, injury reports, or early-game performance—becomes available. Resolution is automatic once the event result is official and meets the market's confirmation standards.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, weather conditions, and recent team performance trends. Trades by high-volume or well-known predictors can shift sentiment quickly, as can breaking news about player availability or ballpark factors. Early-game hits and momentum swings may also trigger repricing as traders update their forecasts in real time. Monitoring team news, lineup confirmations, and live game action will help you anticipate moves in this market before resolution.