TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled for June 13, 2026. The event concerns whether either team will score at least one run during the opening inning of play.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Houston vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate continuous buying and selling by many participants. For the Houston vs Kansas City First Inning Run event, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the market is pricing in different information or risk assessments. Traders often use these gaps to identify value, though both venues ultimately aim to forecast the same outcome.
On Kalshi, the Houston vs Kansas City First Inning Run contract is priced between 0 and 100, where each point represents a one percent probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy contracts if they believe a run will score in the first inning, or sell if they expect no run. The price reflects the collective forecast of all active traders on the platform. As new information emerges—such as lineup changes, weather updates, or pitcher performance data—the price adjusts dynamically. Kalshi's order book shows bids and asks, allowing traders to execute at their preferred price levels.
The Houston vs Kansas City First Inning Run market resolves on Jun 14, 2026, shortly after the conclusion of the first inning. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run crosses home plate during that inning. Resolution is typically automatic once official game data is confirmed. Traders should monitor the game in real time to understand how the market may shift as the first inning unfolds. Early runs or pitcher performance can quickly move odds before the market locks in its final result.
Several factors could shift odds before the market resolves. Lineup announcements, injuries to key batters or pitchers, and weather conditions at the stadium all influence first-inning scoring probability. Recent team form, head-to-head matchup history, and starting pitcher statistics are closely watched by traders. Late-breaking news such as roster changes or umpire assignments may also trigger price movement. As game time approaches, traders react to pre-game commentary and betting patterns. Once the game begins, each pitch and at-bat in the first inning will drive real-time price adjustments until the inning concludes.