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Houston vs Indianapolis: Winning Margin
kalshi

What is the result of Houston vs Indianapolis?

Volume:
$13,536

Indianapolis by 1 to 6

 - Kalshi

Indianapolis by 1 to 6 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:11 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Indianapolis by 1 to 6

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,625
N/A
N/A
$2,385
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,468
N/A
N/A
$6,159
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston by 1 to 6

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,692
N/A
N/A
$1,430
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis by 7 to 14

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,349
N/A
N/A
$1,107
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston by 7 to 14

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$708
N/A
N/A
$599
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis by 15 or more

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$539
N/A
N/A
$436
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston by 15 or more

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$145
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This set of markets tracks the outcome of a professional football game between Houston and Indianapolis, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. Each market corresponds to a different possible point differential range, determining whether one team wins by a specific number of points or exactly ties. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential between Houston and Indianapolis in their full professional football game scheduled for September 27, 2026, including any overtime periods. A tie (0-point differential) resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. Markets for 'Indianapolis by 1 to 6', 'Indianapolis by 7 to 14', and 'Indianapolis by 15 or more' resolve to Yes if Indianapolis wins by the specified point ranges. Similarly, markets for 'Houston by 1 to 6', 'Houston by 7 to 14', and 'Houston by 15 or more' resolve to Yes if Houston wins by the corresponding margins. Each market is mutually exclusive, meaning only one will resolve to Yes based on the actual game outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL winning margin market tracks the current prices for various winning margin ranges in the upcoming game between Houston and Indianapolis. You’ll find a dynamic price chart showing how the market values different outcomes, alongside the 24-hour trading volume of $11,532. The total volume traded on this market is currently $13,536. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see which margins traders believe are most likely, all within Kalshi.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of different winning margins. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, you’ll see the price on Kalshi move in the opposite direction. This can create opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value discrepancies between the two.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margin ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that margin occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final winning margin and trading contracts at favorable prices before the event concludes.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final winning margin, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to identify the winning contract. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual winning margin and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission paid when purchasing the contract.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Indianapolis teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated statistical models, could lead traders to reassess their probabilities and adjust their positions on Kalshi.