TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball in an upcoming football game between Houston and Indianapolis. It focuses on whether certain players reach particular thresholds for the number of times they carry the ball during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing attempts recorded by designated players during the Houston vs. Indianapolis Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. For each market, if the named player achieves the specified minimum number of rushing attempts, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by the actual number of rushing attempts they record during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance thresholds.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability that traders assign to that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the expected rushing activity. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, capturing the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total rushing attempts, as recorded by official NFL statistics, will determine the winning contract. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual number of rushing attempts, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather conditions, particularly if inclement, could also affect the game plan and lead to more or fewer rushing attempts. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or player availability could also cause shifts in the market. Keep an eye on these developments as they unfold, as they all have the potential to move the price of contracts in this market.