TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard thresholds for specific players in an upcoming football game. Participants can bet on whether a player will surpass various yardage milestones during the match. The outcome depends entirely on the players' performance in the game.
All markets resolve based on whether the named player records the specified passing yard threshold or higher in the Houston vs Indianapolis Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If the player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before kickoff. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves based on the total passing yards actually recorded during the game. All markets are independent and resolve separately, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move to reflect that collective opinion. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own predictions, which dynamically changes the prices. The more contracts bought for a specific yardage range, the higher the price, indicating greater belief in that outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage total for the game between Houston and Indianapolis is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage total, as recorded by official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The market will settle to the final official passing yards achieved in the game, with payouts determined by the specific contract purchased.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing yardage. Late-breaking news about defensive strategies or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public analysis or expert predictions could influence trading activity in this market.