TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Houston and Georgia Southern. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics of the opening quarter, ignoring the rest of the game’s outcome. The result depends on whether Houston, Georgia Southern, or neither team (in case of a tie) scores more points in that initial period.
If Georgia Southern wins the 1st quarter of the Houston vs Georgia Southern college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston wins the 1st quarter of the Houston vs Georgia Southern college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Houston vs Georgia Southern college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand among traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or a potential arbitrage opportunity. It’s common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available, potentially leading to convergence with sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Houston or Georgia Southern winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the strength of buy and sell interest.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially declared the winner of the first quarter by the official game statistics. The final score of the first quarter will be used to determine the winning team. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Georgia Southern teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could drive price fluctuations in this market.