TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 9:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on individual team performance, allowing bettors to predict whether Houston or Detroit will score above specific run thresholds during their June 25, 2026 game. Each team's scoring is evaluated independently across multiple outcome levels.
The Houston vs Detroit game scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT will be evaluated for individual team run production. Detroit's outcomes resolve to Yes if the team scores at or above the specified threshold (2 runs for the 1.5 line, 3 runs for the 2.5 line, and so forth through 8 runs for the 7.5 line). Houston's outcomes follow the same structure, with thresholds ranging from 2 runs through 8 runs. Each team's total is determined independently from the final official game score.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders betting real money on outcomes. This market's odds represent a crowd-sourced forecast unconstrained by sportsbook margins or liability concerns. Comparing the two can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree, sometimes highlighting value or consensus shifts in how the event is perceived.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcome ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective confidence in that outcome, with higher prices indicating stronger belief. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time, allowing the market to incorporate breaking news, injury reports, or other relevant developments. This dynamic pricing ensures the odds stay current and competitive throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the Houston versus Detroit game concludes and the final combined team total is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official box score. At that point, shares corresponding to the correct total range are paid out in full, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution is automatic and final once the event result is publicly available and reconciled.
Several factors can shift this market significantly before resolution. Injury announcements to key offensive players, lineup changes, or coaching adjustments will influence expected scoring. Weather conditions on game day—wind, temperature, or precipitation—can impact passing and kicking efficiency. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often precedes prediction market moves, as sharp money reacts to new information. Team performance trends, recent offensive or defensive statistics, and head-to-head historical scoring patterns also serve as important signals traders monitor when adjusting their positions.