TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 8:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market measures the combined scoring output of both teams during the first five innings of the Houston vs Detroit game on June 26, 2026. It tracks whether the total runs scored by both teams exceeds various thresholds.
Resolution is based on the combined run total scored by Houston and Detroit through the completion of the fifth inning of the game originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. The market tracks whether this combined total exceeds 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, or 6.5 runs. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market may price the first 5 innings total differently than traditional sportsbooks, especially if informed traders spot value that bookmakers have missed. Comparing the two can reveal where the market sees an edge relative to conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit or lose based on whether their prediction of the first 5 innings total proves correct at resolution. The price you see reflects the marginal trader's belief about the likelihood of the outcome, updated instantly as new orders flow in. Tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower trading volume.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the Houston-Detroit game concludes and the first 5 innings total is finalized. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources such as official MLB records or major sports data providers. Your position settles based on whether the actual combined runs scored in the first five innings matches the outcome you predicted. Early resolution is possible if the game is called before five innings are complete, depending on official league rules.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and recent offensive or defensive trends for both teams. Injury updates to star players can shift run-scoring expectations significantly. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed and temperature affect ball carry—often influence totals markets. Pre-game betting action and sharp money flowing into sportsbooks may signal where informed traders expect the total to land. Real-time game developments, such as early runs or pitching changes, will cause sharp repricing as the first five innings unfold.