TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This MLS soccer match between Houston and DC United on July 22, 2026 will be evaluated based on the final goal differential after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Bettors can wager on whether Houston or DC United will win by specific goal margins.
Resolution is determined by the final score of the Houston vs DC United MLS match scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Four distinct spread outcomes are offered: Houston winning by more than 2.5 goals, Houston winning by more than 1.5 goals, DC United winning by more than 1.5 goals, and DC United winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves independently based on whether the specified goal differential is achieved by the designated team.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show different spreads than major sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or as one venue attracts more volume than the other. Comparing both can reveal where consensus is strongest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their belief about the final spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a specific spread range, and the price reflects the cumulative probability assigned by active traders. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust in real time, creating a dynamic price discovery process that incorporates the collective forecast of the trading community.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Houston vs DC United match concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by the actual goal differential between the two teams, confirmed against credible public reporting of the official match result. Once the final spread is established, the market settles based on which outcome range was correct, and traders' positions are closed accordingly.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form leading into the match. Weather conditions, home-field advantage shifts, and historical head-to-head performance can also influence trader sentiment. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one side may signal where informed traders see value. Real-time match developments—early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments—will drive significant repricing as the event unfolds.