TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 12:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Houston or the A’s will win their professional baseball game scheduled for September 24, 2026. Currently, Kalshi shows a 99.0% probability that Houston wins, with the A’s at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as reported by the official result, and the resolution source is whether the A’s win the Houston vs A’s professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. Keep an eye on whether the game proceeds as scheduled on September 24, 2026, as any changes to the schedule could impact the resolution.
The market resolves to Yes for the Houston outcome if that team wins the specified professional baseball game. The market resolves to Yes for the A's outcome if that team wins the same game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. If a large number of people believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds-makers, particularly when there's asymmetric information or strong public sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event's result. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic and informative representation of expectations for the Houston vs A's game. The current market depth shows the available liquidity at various price points.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Houston vs A's game, as officially recorded by relevant sports authorities, will determine the winning contract. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the actual outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event's progress leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or A's teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements or managerial decisions could also contribute to price fluctuations. Furthermore, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could impact the volume and direction of trading in this market.