TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Houston Dynamo vs. Portland Timbers MLS match scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets include spread bets (1.5 and 2.5 goal differentials for both teams), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), and a both-teams-to-score market. All markets resolve based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket use identical resolution criteria: official mlssoccer.com final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent threshold logic across all spread and over/under markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS Soccer (mlssoccer.com) - final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage timeCore resolution logic:
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5) resolves Yes if Houston wins by 2+ goals; otherwise Portland Timbers
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5) resolves Yes if Houston wins by 3+ goals; otherwise Portland Timbers
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5) resolves Yes if Portland wins by 2+ goals; otherwise Houston Dynamo
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5) resolves Yes if Portland wins by 3+ goals; otherwise Houston Dynamo
- Over/Under 1.5: Over if combined goals >= 2; Under if < 2
- Over/Under 2.5: Over if combined goals >= 3; Under if < 3
- Over/Under 3.5: Over if combined goals >= 4; Under if < 4
- Over/Under 4.5: Over if combined goals >= 5; Under if < 5
- Both Teams to Score: Yes if both teams score at least 1 goal each; No if either team scores 0
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed. Resolution occurs once the official final score is published on mlssoccer.com.
- Game Cancellation (No Makeup): If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50.
- Incomplete Match: If the game is started but not completed, resolution is based on the official final score published on mlssoccer.com at the time of stoppage.
- Extra Time and Penalties: Markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts. Only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time counts toward resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the official final score is published on mlssoccer.com following the completion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on March 14, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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