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406,019

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2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy - First Team to Score
kalshi
polymarket

Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy - First Team to Score

Volume:
$641,999

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 8:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$641,082
N/A
N/A
$579,763
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Houston Dynamo

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$773
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Los Angeles Galaxy

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Intro

This market tracks which team will score first in the Houston Dynamo versus Los Angeles Galaxy soccer match. The aggregated consensus probability favors Houston Dynamo to score first at 60.0%, with Los Angeles Galaxy at 33.5%. Data is aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official match statistics. Watch for the match on August 15, 2026, as it will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market scope mismatch - Polymarket covers soccer first goal, Kalshi covers baseball first inning runsHero tip: These markets resolve from entirely different sporting events. Only the Polymarket markets relate to the Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy soccer match. The Kalshi market refers to a Seattle vs Houston baseball game and should be treated as a separate entity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Soccer first goal resolution within 90 minutes + stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Uses official governing body statistics with credible reporting backup. Key quote: "This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded."
  • Kalshi: Baseball runs resolution in the first inning of Seattle vs Houston game. Completely different sport and event structure. Key quote: "If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs Houston professional baseball game..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Dynamo" if Houston Dynamo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Galaxy" if Los Angeles Galaxy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market dashboard aggregates predictions from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of each team scoring first. It tracks consensus views and volume trends across platforms, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment for the first goal scorer market. With total volume at $641,999, you can see where the smart money is placed as the match approaches.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Market design and user base differences drive pricing gaps. Polymarket tends to attract more sophisticated traders focused on fine-grained probability assessments, while Kalshi may see broader retail participation that amplifies sentiment swings. These distinct participant dynamics create divergent price discovery paths, especially when recent match outcomes or player injuries shift expectations abruptly.