TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 11:11 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Houston Dynamo and D.C. United SC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Dynamo" if Houston Dynamo score more goals than D.C. United SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Houston Dynamo and D.C. United SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC score more goals than Houston Dynamo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Houston Dynamo and D.C. United SC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Dynamo" if Houston Dynamo score more goals than D.C. United SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Houston Dynamo and D.C. United SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC score more goals than Houston Dynamo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader belief and financial incentive to forecast accurately. Traders betting real money on the second-half outcome have strong motivation to identify mispricing relative to sportsbook lines. Over time, prediction markets can reveal where public or professional consensus differs from bookmaker pricing, making them a useful reference point for sharp bettors and analysts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible second-half outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative bets placed on it; as more traders buy shares in a particular result, its price rises, and vice versa. This continuous pricing model ensures liquidity and allows traders to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates. The market price effectively represents the crowd's probabilistic forecast of which team will win the second half.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Houston Dynamo versus D.C. United SC match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half of play. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution is automatic once the match result is confirmed and integrated into the platform's settlement process.
Key catalysts that could shift this market include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff or at halftime. In-game events like early second-half goals, red cards, or momentum swings will likely trigger sharp repricing as traders update their forecasts in real time. Weather conditions, crowd dynamics, and recent form of both squads may also influence trader positioning. As the match unfolds and new information emerges, the market price will adjust to reflect changing probabilities of each outcome.