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Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Who will score first: Houston Dynamo or D.C. United SC?

Volume:
$4,518

Houston Dynamo

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 11:11 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Houston Dynamo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston Dynamo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$418
N/A
N/A
$397
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,128
N/A
N/A
$1,128
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$931
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

D.C. United SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

DC United

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a single MLS match between Houston Dynamo and D.C. United SC scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, with markets predicting which team will score first. The core question is identical across platforms: determining the first-scoring team within a defined time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time scope divergence: Polymarket caps resolution at 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, while Kalshi includes extra time periods. This creates different outcomes if the first goal occurs after the 90+stoppage window.Hero tip: Monitor the match flow and injury time announcements. If the match is tied at 90+stoppage, Polymarket will resolve to Neither while Kalshi remains open. Position sizing should account for this asymmetry, especially in competitive matchups likely to go to extra time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Scope limited to 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts explicitly excluded. Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.
  • Kalshi: Scope includes entire game: regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. No explicit exclusion of extra time. Resolution source not specified but implied to be official MLS records.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Houston Dynamo and D.C. United SC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Dynamo" if Houston Dynamo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team records the first goal during the entire Houston Dynamo vs DC United professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, resolution is based on the team awarded the goal by the referee. The "No Goal" outcome resolves to Yes if the match ends without any team scoring.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market aggregates predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking which team will score first in the Houston Dynamo versus D.C. United match. Traders on both venues place bets on outcomes including whether Houston, D.C. United, or neither team will find the net first. This market reflects real-time consensus from prediction traders worldwide, with combined volume showing overall interest and conviction. The dashboard displays current odds, recent trading activity, and historical price movements, giving you a transparent view of how the crowd is positioning ahead of kickoff.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Traders buy and sell shares representing outcomes, and prices emerge from supply and demand rather than a bookmaker's margin. This often produces sharper, more efficient odds than traditional sportsbooks because traders have direct financial incentive to price accurately. Sportsbooks, by contrast, build in a margin and may adjust lines based on liability management. Over time, prediction market prices tend to reflect genuine probability more closely, making them valuable for comparing against conventional betting lines.

Team news—injuries to key forwards, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift odds. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions and pitch quality on match day may favor attacking or defensive play. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can trigger rapid repricing. Live action during the match itself, such as early chances, fouls, or substitutions, will drive continuous price movement as traders update their expectations in real time.