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Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC?

Volume:
$1,097,380

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 10:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$425,504
N/A
N/A
$292,918
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$280,569
N/A
N/A
$162,873
Settled
No
polymarket

Houston Dynamo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

DC United

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$247,773
N/A
N/A
$139,945
Settled
No
polymarket

D.C. United SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the Houston Dynamo versus D.C. United SC match scheduled for July 22, 2026 will end in a draw, with an aggregated consensus probability of 99.5% for a draw across Kalshi and Polymarket, resolving via official MLS results at mlssoccer.com. The match result will be determined by the end of the event window on July 23, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi define cancellation and postponement outcomes differently. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on full cancellation (no makeup), while win markets resolve NO; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation or postponement guidance.Hero tip: Monitor Polymarket's draw market closely if cancellation risk emerges—it has asymmetric payoff logic. Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol directly with the platform before match day to avoid settlement disputes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Houston Win, Draw, DC United Win). Houston Win and DC United Win resolve NO if game is canceled with no makeup; Draw resolves YES if canceled with no makeup. All markets remain open if postponed. Resolution source: official MLS statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single three-way market resolving YES for any outcome (Houston win, DC United win, or Tie) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between Houston Dynamo and D.C. United SC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the result of the professional MLS soccer match between Houston and DC United originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The match has three possible outcomes: Houston victory, DC United victory, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading venues where traders forecast the outcome. Each platform pools independent trader conviction, allowing you to monitor real-time odds and volume across both venues simultaneously. By tracking the same event on multiple platforms, you gain insight into consensus pricing and spot divergences that may signal value. The cross-platform view helps traders identify where the market leans most heavily and whether one venue is pricing the match differently than the other, reflecting varying trader bases and market dynamics.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks both reflect expected outcomes, but they operate under different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by peer-to-peer trading—odds emerge from what traders are willing to buy and sell. Prediction markets often react faster to new information because traders profit directly from accurate forecasts, creating stronger incentives for early price discovery. Comparing this market's odds to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue is pricing the match more conservatively or aggressively, helping you identify potential edges.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, regulatory frameworks, and liquidity pools, all of which influence pricing. Polymarket and Kalshi may weight recent team form, injury reports, or historical matchups differently based on their user base's expertise and risk appetite. Timing also matters—one venue may react to breaking news before the other, creating temporary price gaps. Additionally, platform-specific features like fee structures and order-book depth can shift how traders value the same outcome, leading to measurable divergence that savvy traders monitor for arbitrage or directional conviction plays.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, and recent team performance will likely shift odds significantly. A star player's absence or unexpected roster rotation can alter perceived match strength and trigger rapid repricing across both platforms. Weather conditions, home-field advantage factors, and head-to-head historical trends also influence trader sentiment. Major league news—such as coaching changes or mid-season form swings—may emerge and reshape expectations. Additionally, any official league communications about the fixture or unusual betting patterns on other sportsbooks could prompt traders to adjust their positions, creating volatility in this market's price right up until kickoff.