TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the exact final score of the Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC MLS soccer match scheduled for July 25, 2026. The outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the final score of the Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, measured after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Extra time periods and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Each possible correct score outcome—ranging from 0-0 draws to high-scoring results—resolves to Yes if that exact final score is achieved. Own goals are credited to the team that benefits from the goal. The resolution is based solely on the official match result as recorded by MLS.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. In this market, odds emerge from real money at stake, which can reveal information gaps that sportsbooks haven't yet priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where public sentiment or sharp traders see value in specific correct-score outcomes that conventional oddsmakers may have mispriced.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for each possible correct score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction—and moves instantly as new orders arrive. Traders can place limit orders to wait for their target price or market orders to execute immediately. Prices converge toward true probability as more capital enters the market and arbitrage opportunities are exploited, making the final odds a real-time consensus of informed opinion.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the Houston Dynamo versus Austin FC match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time. Whichever correct-score option matches the official final result will be marked as the winning outcome, and all positions will settle accordingly. Traders holding the correct prediction receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts that alter expected goal-scoring patterns. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader expectations about likely scorelines. Betting market movement and social media sentiment may also influence prediction market prices as new information surfaces. Late-breaking roster changes or venue factors closer to kickoff often trigger sharp repricing, especially for outcomes perceived as undervalued by the broader market.