TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC?

Volume:
$410,561

Houston

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 10:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Houston

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$158,222
N/A
N/A
$106,318
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Houston Dynamo

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Houston Dynamo

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$5,893
$9,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Austin FC

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$655
$888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$130,386
N/A
N/A
$102,167
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$619
$583
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,803
N/A
N/A
$49,079
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers the MLS match between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC scheduled for July 25, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Houston win, Austin win, or draw. All platforms resolve based on the official 90-minute result plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation and postponement logic diverges across platforms. Polymarket and Predict specify that a canceled game with no makeup resolves the draw market to YES but Houston and Austin win markets to NO, creating logical inconsistency. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause.Hero tip: Avoid taking positions until cancellation rules are harmonized. If you trade on Polymarket or Predict, note that a full cancellation scenario leaves the three mutually exclusive markets in an impossible state (Draw=YES, Houston=NO, Austin=NO). Request clarification from platforms on whether cancellation should resolve all three markets identically or if one platform's logic will be corrected.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Houston win and Austin win markets resolve NO if game is canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled with no makeup. All three markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Postponed games remain open until completion.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Houston win, Austin win, Tie) each resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Kalshi's silence creates ambiguity on how these markets behave if the game does not occur.
  • Predict: Mirrors Polymarket exactly. Houston win and Austin win resolve NO on cancellation with no makeup. Draw resolves YES on cancellation with no makeup. Postponed games remain open until completion. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC.

Kalshi

The Houston vs Austin MLS soccer game scheduled for July 25, 2026 will be evaluated based on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. Resolution depends on the outcome at the conclusion of standard match time: if Houston scores more goals than Austin, the Houston market resolves to Yes; if Austin scores more goals than Houston, the Austin market resolves to Yes; if both teams have equal goals, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with Kalshi rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC match. Traders on both venues are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with combined volume of $410,561 across all linked markets. Each platform hosts its own order book where participants buy and sell shares tied to different outcomes, allowing real-time price discovery. The cross-platform view helps you compare how different communities of traders are positioning ahead of the event, revealing consensus strength or divergence in expectations.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, are peer-to-peer venues where traders directly set prices through supply and demand. This can make prediction markets more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially when large volumes of informed traders participate. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injuries, while prediction markets sometimes lag. Comparing both sources gives you a fuller picture of how the event is being priced across different venues.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can trigger sharp price swings. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage are already priced in, but unexpected tactical shifts or coaching decisions may shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and late-breaking team news often spark volatility in the final hours. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can also influence retail traders. Monitor official team communications and credible sports journalists for developments that could reshape expectations before the final whistle.