TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 12:16 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NWSL game between Houston Dash and NJ/NY Gotham FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Dash" if Houston Dash score more goals than NJ/NY Gotham FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Houston Dash and NJ/NY Gotham FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NJ/NY Gotham FC" if NJ/NY Gotham FC score more goals than Houston Dash in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between Houston Dash and NJ/NY Gotham FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Dash" if Houston Dash score more goals than NJ/NY Gotham FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Houston Dash and NJ/NY Gotham FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NJ/NY Gotham FC" if NJ/NY Gotham FC score more goals than Houston Dash in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader conviction and real-money stakes. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, sometimes pricing outcomes differently than traditional oddsmakers. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the two communities disagree on the second-half result, potentially highlighting value or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of shares held in the liquidity pool; as traders buy shares of one outcome, its price rises and others fall. This continuous pricing model allows real-time discovery of the market's true probability estimate. Traders profit by correctly predicting the second-half result, which incentivizes accurate pricing throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the actual score or result recorded during the second half of play. Resolution occurs after official confirmation, ensuring accuracy and fairness to all traders. Until that point, this market remains open for trading, allowing participants to adjust positions based on live game developments and emerging information.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Early first-half performance, team injuries, tactical adjustments, and momentum swings all influence trader expectations for the second half. Red cards or significant momentum shifts during the first half often trigger sharp repricing. Weather conditions, crowd energy, and halftime commentary can also sway sentiment. Major news about player availability or team strategy may prompt rapid trading activity. Traders continuously reassess probabilities based on unfolding match dynamics, so this market typically experiences volatility as kickoff approaches and throughout the first half.