TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Houston Cougars and Oklahoma State Cowboys scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-12.5, -13.5), and over/under totals (146.5, 147.5, 148.5), with resolution based on final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Houston win and Oklahoma State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline correctly maps outcomes to team names. Spread and total markets are internally consistent across both platforms.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi moneyline as a data integrity failure. Trade Polymarket moneyline with confidence. For spreads and totals, note that Polymarket offers three distinct over/under thresholds (146.5, 147.5, 148.5) and two spread lines (-12.5, -13.5); all use identical edge-case logic (postponement = market stays open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split). These are SKU variants, not divergences.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both Houston win and Oklahoma State win resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Oklahoma St. wins...resolves to Yes. If Houston wins...resolves to Yes.' This guarantees Yes regardless of outcome.Polymarket:
Moneyline market correctly maps Houston win to 'Houston Cougars' and Oklahoma State win to 'Oklahoma State Cowboys'. Quote: 'If the Houston Cougars win, the market will resolve to Houston Cougars. If the Oklahoma State Cowboys win, the market will resolve to Oklahoma State Cowboys.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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