TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 10:20 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college football teams engage in a competitive match, with each aiming to come out on top in their season opener.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate sharp lines and adjustments, prediction markets capture crowd-sourced expectations that can shift rapidly with new information. Traders may see divergence based on recent performance, injuries, or changing public sentiment. Comparing the two offers a broader perspective on how various groups price the likelihood of each team winning.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome. The top chance percentage reflects collective wisdom from participants actively engaging in this market. Volume of $277,243 indicates overall interest, while price fluctuations respond to new data or shifts in consensus about team performance or game conditions.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official game conclusion, reflecting which team is declared the winner according to standard sports governing rules and reported widely across trusted news outlets.
Injuries to key players, coaching strategies, or recent performance trends could shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, changes in team rankings, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and media narratives surrounding momentum may influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments leading up to the game can cause rapid adjustments in implied probabilities as participants reassess their positions.