TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:58 PM EST
Kalshi
In this college football contest, the first half determines the result, regardless of how the game concludes afterward. The focus remains entirely on halftime scoring.
The market resolves based on which team leads at the end of the first half of the designated college football game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, it resolves to a fair price. Points scored only during the first half count toward the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Houston Christian or Incarnate Word winning the first half. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will likely converge towards 100, representing a near-certain outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first half of the Houston Christian vs Incarnate Word game will determine the winning contract. The official score at halftime, as reported by a reliable sports data source, will be used to determine the result. It’s important to note that any potential delays or changes to the game schedule could impact the resolution timeline, but the outcome will be based on the official first-half result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Houston Christian or Incarnate Word would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as unexpected wins or losses, could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on game day could play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and increasing the likelihood of one team gaining an advantage. Public sentiment and expert analysis, though less direct, can also contribute to price movements.