TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 9:45 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 7 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 7 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or as one venue attracts more volume than the other. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist, though each operates independently with its own pricing dynamics.
On Predict, traders set prices by buying and selling shares representing each outcome, with the current market price reflecting the collective belief of active participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This continuous auction mechanism ensures that prices adjust in real time as new information surfaces or sentiment shifts. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices move and how tight the bid-ask spread remains.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the final result of the game—which team wins—as documented by official sports sources and widely reported coverage. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares, allowing positions to be adjusted or closed based on evolving circumstances. Once the game concludes and the winner is established, the market will settle accordingly.
Key roster changes, injury announcements, and recent team performance trends can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and head-to-head historical matchups also influence how participants price outcomes. Breaking news about player availability, lineup adjustments, or coaching decisions often triggers sharp price movements as the market reprices risk. Additionally, betting trends and sharp action from professional traders can accelerate momentum in either direction, so monitoring sports news and team updates leading up to game time remains essential for tracking this market's evolution.