TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 6:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 7 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 7 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders with real money at stake. This market may reflect sharper or earlier signals than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to game time. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability: a share trading at $0.72 suggests a 72% chance of that outcome occurring. As new information surfaces or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and increases price accuracy, making this market more reliable as participation grows.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and official result of the matchup. Traders holding shares in the winning team receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution is typically confirmed within hours of the final whistle, allowing quick settlement and payouts to winning positions.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather conditions, and recent team performance trends. Trades, roster moves, or coaching decisions can shift expectations significantly. Breaking news about player availability or team momentum often triggers sharp price swings as traders reassess probabilities. Betting action from sharp money or institutional traders can also move odds. Monitor sports news and team updates closely, as this market will reprice rapidly in response to any material developments affecting either team's chances.