TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 7:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 11 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 11 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of traders risking real capital. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than traditional sportsbooks depending on trading volume and the confidence level among participants. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from professional oddsmakers' assessments.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one team's victory, and the price reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders. As new information emerges—such as lineup announcements or betting trends—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift. The continuous price discovery process means odds update in real time throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the contest. Resolution happens automatically after the event is confirmed, allowing traders to settle their positions. Early resolution may occur if the game is officially called or postponed under league rules.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, and recent team performance trends heading into the matchup. Weather conditions and ballpark factors can influence betting sentiment, particularly for baseball. Trade deadline moves or roster adjustments may shift trader confidence in either team's chances. Media coverage, expert predictions, and betting action from major sportsbooks can also trigger repricing as new information reaches the market. Late-breaking news on player availability typically generates the most volatility in the final hours before game time.