TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:17 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-12 22:10 UTC: If the Houston Astros win, the market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-12 22:10 UTC: If the Houston Astros win, the market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, whereas this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than traditional polls or analysts in forecasting event outcomes, though past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe the Astros will win, for example, the price of contracts predicting their victory will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Houston Astros versus Tampa Bay Rays game, as reported by a major sports data provider. The market will determine which team wins the game, and the outcome will be settled accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Key player injuries to either the Astros or the Rays would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected pitching changes or weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could also move the market. News regarding team morale, strategic adjustments, or even pre-game analysis from respected baseball analysts could all contribute to changes in trading activity and price fluctuations within this market. Any significant development related to either team has the potential to alter trader sentiment.