TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:05 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Athletics, scheduled for September 27 at 3:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Athletics, scheduled for September 27 at 3:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information or react to unexpected developments than sportsbooks, as the crowd can quickly adjust its expectations. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading on Predict.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Astros-Athletics game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by Major League Baseball. The market will determine which outcome – a win for either team – is the correct one based on the game’s final score. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence trading in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Astros or the Athletics would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even pre-game reports on team morale could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup changes or significant performance trends leading up to the game could also drive price fluctuations. Major news events or public statements related to the teams or players involved could also impact this market.