TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 25,850,904
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 25,850,904 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved May 30, 2026
Closed: May 30, 4:54 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether House Of Balloons by The Weeknd will accumulate more than 25,850,904 worldwide streams on Luminate during the May 22–28 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently sits at 47.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific week, with the market settling by June 1, 2026. Watch the streaming performance during the May 22–28 tracking period to gauge whether the project will cross the 25.85 million stream threshold.
Frequently asked questions
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution hinges on whether House Of Balloons achieves above 25,850,904 streams on the Luminate platform during the May 22–28 tracking window. Final stream counts are verified against official Luminate data to determine whether the outcome resolves affirmatively or negatively. Traders should monitor streaming platforms and official announcements as the resolution date approaches to stay informed on the likely outcome.
Key catalysts include playlist placements on major DSP editorial playlists, social media momentum or viral moments featuring the track, radio airplay announcements, and any promotional activity by The Weeknd or his label. Chart performance on competing platforms like Spotify or Apple Music can signal broader streaming appetite. Real-time stream count updates from industry trackers may also shift trader expectations. Additionally, competing releases or unexpected cultural events during May 22–28 could redirect listener attention and impact final stream totals.
