TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Singapore Premier League between two teams. The result depends solely on the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event considers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the game ends in a draw.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Hougang United vs Lion City Sailors professional Singapore Premier League soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Hougang United win, Lion City Sailors win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the game ends level after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. Extra time and penalty shootout results are explicitly excluded from consideration for market resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or changes in team composition, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time. The current market depth and order flow can be viewed directly on the Kalshi dashboard, providing insight into trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hougang United vs Lion City Sailors match as reported by the Singapore Premier League’s official sources. The winning outcome will be the one that corresponds to the actual result of the game. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over another. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly influence trader confidence and lead to price adjustments.