TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either the Houston Texans or the Indianapolis Colts specifically during the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts during the third quarter of the game scheduled for September 27, 2026. For markets where the Texans are favored, resolution occurs if Houston wins the third quarter by more than the specified point margin (ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points). Conversely, for markets where the Colts are favored, resolution occurs if Indianapolis wins the third quarter by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these resolutions, and all markets are independent — meaning each evaluates its specific threshold without regard to other markets' outcomes. The governing league's official scoring and game records determine the final resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. Frequently, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives and are continuously updated as new information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds remain a popular benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Texans-Colts game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NFL. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the game and any potential factors that could influence the final score as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texans or the Colts would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the market. In-game performance during the first and second quarters, and any strategic adjustments made by the coaches, will also be closely watched by traders. Unexpected events, such as turnovers or penalties, could quickly alter perceptions and lead to price fluctuations in this market.