TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points the Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts will score together in the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to result in a 'Yes' outcome.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined second-quarter scoring by both teams exceeds specified thresholds. All outcomes depend solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the designated game, with no consideration given to any other quarters or game aspects. Each market features an incrementally higher point threshold, ranging from just over three points to more than twenty-four points. If the actual second-quarter total meets or exceeds any given threshold, that specific market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The secondary rule consistently specifies that only points scored in the second quarter count, ensuring focus remains strictly on that period regardless of overall game dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 2nd quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The current price indicates the implied probability of exceeding the specified point total, and changes in price reflect shifts in trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second quarter between the Texans and Colts will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded or fell short of the threshold defined by the market. Resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Texans or Colts would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from individual participants or groups could temporarily influence the price, although the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available.