TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either the Houston Texans or the Indianapolis Colts specifically during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets determine whether the Houston Texans or Indianapolis Colts win the second quarter of their Pro Football game by exceeding specific point differentials. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter, with each outcome requiring the winning team to surpass a designated margin: 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, 2.5, 1.5 points for Houston, and 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5 points for Indianapolis. The governing resolution hinges solely on second-quarter performance, rendering any other quarter’s results irrelevant to these markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals making their own predictions and trading accordingly. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks might not immediately factor in. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi often converge with those found at sportsbooks, though differences can persist due to varying market dynamics and risk assessments.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the 2nd quarter of the Texans-Colts game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by each contract. All winning contracts will be settled at a value of 100, while losing contracts will be worth 0. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Texans or the Colts would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift the market, as these factors can affect the style of play and scoring. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or turnovers, will undoubtedly cause fluctuations in the market price. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal shifts in sentiment and move the market.