TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 8:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Talent Gaming and TOP Esports Armor in the King Pro League Stage 1 Group 1, initially scheduled for July 2 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Talent Gaming" if Talent Gaming win the match against TOP Esports Armor. This market will resolve to "TOP Esports Armor" if TOP Esports Armor win the match against Talent Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Talent Gaming and TOP Esports Armor in the King Pro League Stage 1 Group 1, initially scheduled for July 2 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Talent Gaming" if Talent Gaming win the match against TOP Esports Armor. This market will resolve to "TOP Esports Armor" if TOP Esports Armor win the match against Talent Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like Polymarket allow traders to discover prices through open competition. This market may reflect sharper or more reactive pricing than conventional sportsbooks, especially as new information surfaces during the tournament. Comparing this market's odds to major esports betting sites can reveal where professional traders and casual bettors disagree on the likely outcome of individual games in the series.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares that represent each possible outcome, with the current price of a share reflecting the market's implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently shows strong conviction, with prices updating continuously as new trades execute. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to breaking news or in-game developments. Traders profit by correctly predicting which team wins each game, incentivizing them to incorporate all available information into their bids and offers.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the Honor of Kings match concludes and the results are verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins each individual game within the best-of-five series, with the dashboard tracking game-by-game results as they are officially confirmed. Resolution timing depends on the tournament schedule and when final scores are published by the league or verified through established esports reporting channels. Traders should monitor the event calendar to anticipate when each game is scheduled and when payouts will be processed.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player substitutions, or injury updates affecting either team's lineup strength. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series will shift odds dramatically as traders update their forecasts based on observed team form and strategy. Patch changes to the Honor of Kings game itself can alter meta-game dynamics and team matchup advantages. Tournament momentum, coaching adjustments, and public commentary from analysts or team representatives may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected circumstances affecting team preparation or morale could trigger sharp repricing across this market.