TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 8:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Honor of Kings Round 1 match between Saigon Phantom and Hong Kong Attitude in the Arena of Valor Premier League Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for June 18 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Saigon Phantom" if Saigon Phantom win the match against Hong Kong Attitude. This market will resolve to "Hong Kong Attitude" if Hong Kong Attitude win the match against Saigon Phantom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings Round 1 match between Saigon Phantom and Hong Kong Attitude in the Arena of Valor Premier League Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for June 18 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Saigon Phantom" if Saigon Phantom win the match against Hong Kong Attitude. This market will resolve to "Hong Kong Attitude" if Hong Kong Attitude win the match against Saigon Phantom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader conviction and real-money risk. Sportsbooks may adjust faster for sharp action, whereas prediction markets can incorporate longer-term sentiment and niche expertise. Comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders agree on the likely outcome, offering insight into where informed opinion clusters.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders who believe the match will exceed 2.5 games purchase YES shares, while those expecting fewer games buy NO shares. The price of each outcome floats based on cumulative trading activity, with larger positions moving the odds more dramatically. This mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and allows participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the best-of-three series concludes and the final game count is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources covering the Arena of Valor Premier League Swiss Stage. If the match reaches three games total, the over position wins; if it concludes in two games, the under position wins. Resolution happens automatically after the event is finalized and reported by established esports media or the league itself.
Team roster changes, recent performance trends, and head-to-head records can shift trader expectations significantly. Injury announcements or roster substitutions affecting either squad would likely trigger sharp price movement. Scrimmage results or statements from coaches and analysts may influence perception of match competitiveness. As the event date approaches, any official league updates or broadcast schedule changes could also impact trading activity. Real-time momentum during the first game, if visible to traders, would be the strongest catalyst for repricing the over/under before the series concludes.