TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 11:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Rogue Warriors and TOP Esports Armor in the King Pro League Stage 2 Group A, initially scheduled for July 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rogue Warriors" if Rogue Warriors win the match against TOP Esports Armor. This market will resolve to "TOP Esports Armor" if TOP Esports Armor win the match against Rogue Warriors. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Rogue Warriors and TOP Esports Armor in the King Pro League Stage 2 Group A, initially scheduled for July 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rogue Warriors" if Rogue Warriors win the match against TOP Esports Armor. This market will resolve to "TOP Esports Armor" if TOP Esports Armor win the match against Rogue Warriors. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, depending on whether traders perceive edge relative to published lines. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely result of this esports matchup.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one potential result, and the price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trading activity and current belief distribution among participants. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the AMM adjusts prices dynamically to maintain liquidity. The current odds visible on the dashboard represent the marginal cost of purchasing additional shares, updated continuously as orders flow through the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the King Pro League Stage 2 Group A match between Rogue Warriors and TOP Esports concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result reported by the league or tournament organizers. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments or analysis influence their expectations. Resolution is final once the event is officially documented.
Several factors could shift odds before this market resolves. Team roster changes, player injuries, or last-minute lineup announcements may alter perceived strength. Recent performance data, head-to-head records, and tournament momentum leading into the match typically influence trader positioning. Pre-match interviews, coaching changes, or strategic meta shifts in Honor of Kings could also sway sentiment. Additionally, betting action from sharp traders or sudden volume spikes often signal new information entering the market, prompting price adjustments as other participants react and rebalance their positions.