TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 10:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between LT Gaming and Mighty Tiger Gaming in the KPL Growth League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 4 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LT Gaming" if LT Gaming win the match against Mighty Tiger Gaming. This market will resolve to "Mighty Tiger Gaming" if Mighty Tiger Gaming win the match against LT Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between LT Gaming and Mighty Tiger Gaming in the KPL Growth League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 4 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LT Gaming" if LT Gaming win the match against Mighty Tiger Gaming. This market will resolve to "Mighty Tiger Gaming" if Mighty Tiger Gaming win the match against LT Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasting. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who have real money at stake, which can sometimes surface insights before mainstream sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing this market's implied probability to sportsbook spreads may reveal value opportunities, though both reflect genuine uncertainty about the outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate belief of all participants; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news, so markets with deeper order books typically show smoother price discovery. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, with your execution price determined by the current pool state.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the official winner of the best-of-five series between the two teams in the KPL Growth League Group Stage. Resolution occurs after sufficient confirmation from reliable sources, ensuring accuracy before payouts are finalized. Traders should monitor official league announcements and match broadcasts to stay informed as the event approaches.
Several factors may shift odds before the match takes place. Roster announcements, player injuries, or roster swaps involving key performers can significantly alter expectations. Recent team performance, win streaks, or losses in prior Group Stage matches will likely influence trader positioning. Coaching changes, strategic meta shifts in the game, or public statements from team management may also trigger repricing. As the match date approaches, increased media coverage and analyst commentary could amplify volatility. Monitor official team social media and league updates for breaking news that could reshape market sentiment.