TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between LGD NBW and eStar Pro in the King Pro League Stage 1 Group 2, initially scheduled for June 25 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD NBW" if LGD NBW win the match against eStar Pro. This market will resolve to "eStar Pro" if eStar Pro win the match against LGD NBW. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between LGD NBW and eStar Pro in the King Pro League Stage 1 Group 2, initially scheduled for June 25 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD NBW" if LGD NBW win the match against eStar Pro. This market will resolve to "eStar Pro" if eStar Pro win the match against LGD NBW. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader conviction—there is no house edge. This market aggregates the collective judgment of thousands of participants wagering real capital, which can sometimes reveal insights that sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate: a share trading at 0.65 implies a 65% chance of that outcome occurring. As new match footage, team roster updates, or player performance data emerges, traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices respond to new information.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the best-of-five series concludes and the winner is verifiable from credible public sources covering the King Pro League. The outcome is determined by which team wins the majority of games in the match. Until that point, this market remains open for trading, and prices may shift based on team performance, roster changes, or other developments that traders believe affect the final result.
Several catalysts could shift prices significantly before resolution. Key player injuries, roster substitutions, or last-minute lineup changes announced by either LGD NBW or eStar Pro would likely trigger sharp moves. Performance in earlier King Pro League matches, scrim results, or coaching adjustments may also influence trader sentiment. Major patches to Honor of Kings that alter hero balance or game mechanics could reshape strategic expectations. Additionally, head-to-head results between these teams or their performance against common opponents would provide concrete data that traders use to reassess win probability.