TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 1:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Honor of Kings Round 1 match between BanMei Gaming and FPT Polytechnic in the Arena of Valor Premier League Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for June 19 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BanMei Gaming" if BanMei Gaming win the match against FPT Polytechnic. This market will resolve to "FPT Polytechnic" if FPT Polytechnic win the match against BanMei Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings Round 1 match between BanMei Gaming and FPT Polytechnic in the Arena of Valor Premier League Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for June 19 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BanMei Gaming" if BanMei Gaming win the match against FPT Polytechnic. This market will resolve to "FPT Polytechnic" if FPT Polytechnic win the match against BanMei Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and financial incentive to forecast accurately. For esports events like this one, prediction markets may react faster to roster updates or scrim results that sportsbooks haven't yet priced in. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue sees value the other has missed, though both aim to reflect true event probability over time.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trading activity and belief among participants. As new information surfaces—team announcements, player performance data, or tournament updates—traders adjust their positions, which shifts the displayed odds. The market price converges toward the true probability as more capital flows into positions backed by reliable information.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and winner of the best-of-three series between the two teams in the Arena of Valor Premier League Swiss Stage. Resolution occurs after official tournament records confirm the match result, ensuring accuracy before payouts are finalized on the platform.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Roster announcements or player substitutions affecting either team's lineup would likely trigger repricing. Recent scrim results or performance in earlier tournament rounds provide concrete data that traders incorporate quickly. Coach statements about strategy or team morale can influence sentiment. Injury reports or technical issues affecting practice time may also move the market. Additionally, results from other matches in the Swiss Stage could alter perceptions of relative team strength, causing traders to adjust their positions accordingly.