TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 2:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between AG Super Play and Douyu Gaming in the King Pro League Stage 1 Group 3, initially scheduled for July 5 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "AG Super Play" if AG Super Play win the match against Douyu Gaming. This market will resolve to "Douyu Gaming" if Douyu Gaming win the match against AG Super Play. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between AG Super Play and Douyu Gaming in the King Pro League Stage 1 Group 3, initially scheduled for July 5 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "AG Super Play" if AG Super Play win the match against Douyu Gaming. This market will resolve to "Douyu Gaming" if Douyu Gaming win the match against AG Super Play. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds represent consensus among participants who profit or lose based on accuracy, which can make them a useful benchmark against published betting lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract's price reflects the collective probability estimate of all active traders at any given moment. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time. The more capital flowing into a particular outcome, the higher its price climbs, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism that rewards accurate forecasting and penalizes poor predictions.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by the final score and winner of the best-of-five series between the two teams. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the event concludes, allowing traders to see their positions settled based on the actual match result. Keep track of the scheduled date to ensure you manage your positions before the market closes.
Team roster changes, player injuries, or recent performance trends in the King Pro League can shift trader sentiment significantly. Playoff seeding implications and head-to-head records may influence how participants price each outcome. Pre-match analysis from esports commentators and community discussions can spark buying or selling pressure. Momentum from earlier group stage games and any coaching adjustments announced before the match could also trigger notable price swings. Monitor team announcements and league updates for catalysts that might reshape market expectations.