TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 11:30 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Hong Kong and Mongolia (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 5, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 5, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect decentralized trader consensus and may differ from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on their own models and risk management, prediction markets update continuously as participants trade. Sportsbooks typically adjust for juice or margin, whereas prediction markets operate on peer-to-peer pricing. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd on Limitless is more or less bullish on Hong Kong and Mongolia reaching 4+ cards than conventional bookmakers, offering insight into alternative market perspectives.
The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final card count issued to both Hong Kong and Mongolia in their match. If the combined total is 4 or more cards, the affirmative outcome wins; if fewer than 4 cards are issued in total, the negative outcome wins. The resolution relies on official match records and card statistics from the governing body overseeing the competition.
Several factors could shift odds for this outcome. Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes affecting either squad could alter expectations around disciplinary patterns. Referee assignments and their historical card-issuance tendencies may influence trader sentiment. Recent form and head-to-head history between the teams could signal whether a physical or contentious match is likely. Pre-match analysis, expert predictions, and social media discussion about the fixture's intensity may also drive trading activity and repricing as the event date approaches.